Bluegrass Beaver Bedlam
By Michael J.W. Stickings UPDATED FREQUENTLY. My apologies. Something came up and I'm just now sitting down at the computer. I'll have some belated live-blogging of the Kentucky and Oregon results shortly. ********** 9:00 pm - No surprise (of course). Hillary wins big in Kentucky. The final RCP Average was Clinton +29.0, and she's up by 36 points, 66-30, with over 90 percent of precincts reporting. (The results for both states are here.) 9:04 pm - Hillary communications flack Howard Wolfson read
I am beginning to suspect that one could predict Obama's support in any state by adding the number of Black voters to the number of white voters who ever owned, or even thought of owning, a lava lamp. Hence Oregon (pronounced Or-ah-gen). With about half the precincts counted, Obama is leading Clinton by a cool 16 points. But Ms. C got lucky in Kentucky. With 100% of the vote recorded, she once again flattened Obama 65/30%. To put that in perspective, election watchers usually call a mar read
The dominant explanation coming out of Oregon and Kentucky's differing primary results goes like this: Oregonians are wealthier, better-educated and racially homogeneous, and therefore free of the kind of racial politics we have seen in other states recently. Hence their support for Obama. Kentuckians, by contrast, are poorer, less well-educated and are in a state with legacies of racial conflict (however small). Hence their support for Clinton. But before this story congeals into the inevitabl read
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Barack Obama stepped to the brink of victory in the Democratic presidential race Tuesday night, defeating Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Oregon primary and moving within 100 delegates of the total he needs to claim the prize at the party convention this summer. “You have put us within reach of the Democratic nomination,” he told cheering supporters in Iowa, the overwhelmingly white state that launched him, a black, first-term senator from Illinois, on his improbable pat read
Wow, it has been awhile! I've actually been back since Friday, but I've been putting off blogging because it seems like there's just so much to talk about. There's nothing like stuff piling up on top of me to make me want to put everything off another day! I've got lots to talk about, but I'm going to try to split this into a few posts so I don't get totally overwhelmed. We'll see if I get on a roll and end up with the neverending post... I'm going to work backwards, and start with an announcem read
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